BB
BEST BUY CO INC (BBY)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 FY25 revenue was $13.948B, enterprise comparable sales rose 0.5%, and adjusted diluted EPS was $2.58; GAAP diluted EPS was $0.54 due to a $475M goodwill impairment in Best Buy Health, reducing GAAP EPS by $2.02 .
- Domestic gross profit rate improved 50 bps to 20.9% on stronger services/membership performance; International gross profit rate rose 40 bps to 21.4% on lower supply chain costs .
- FY26 guidance: revenue $41.4–$42.2B, comps 0–2%, adjusted operating income rate 4.2–4.4%, adjusted EPS $6.20–$6.60, capex $700–$750M; Q1 FY26 comps expected slightly down and adjusted OI rate ~3.4% .
- Board raised the quarterly dividend 1% to $0.95 per share; company plans ~$300M of FY26 buybacks .
- Management flagged potential tariff headwinds; if China’s 10% tariff persists, BBY estimates ~1 point negative comps impact, mainly in Q2–Q4 FY26; FY26 guidance excludes tariff impacts .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Computing and tablets drove the comp beat; “better-than-expected sales for the fourth quarter driven by strong growth in computing” and adjusted OI rate outperformed expectations .
- Digital engagement strengthened: “digital sales were almost 40% of total domestic sales,” Best Buy app reached #1 shopping app on Black Friday, with ~20% traffic growth; 45% of online revenue was store pickup, improving omni-channel momentum .
- Services/membership improved margin: domestic gross profit rate +50 bps YoY to 20.9% primarily from services/memberships; services comp +9.9% in domestic segment .
What Went Wrong
- Category headwinds: appliances (-11.4%), home theater (-2.2%), and entertainment (-10.9%) were drags despite computing/tablets/services strength .
- Credit card economics: lower profit-sharing revenue from private label/co-branded cards partially offset gross margin gains .
- Best Buy Health impairment: recorded $475M goodwill impairment, lifting GAAP effective tax rate to 47.2% due to nondeductible portion; GAAP EPS suppressed to $0.54 .
Financial Results
Quarterly Trend (oldest → newest)
Year-over-Year: Q4 FY24 vs Q4 FY25
Segment Breakdown (Q4)
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Note: FY26 guidance excludes recently implemented/proposed tariffs .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “I am pleased to report better-than-expected sales for the fourth quarter driven by strong growth in computing... We also delivered a better-than-expected adjusted operating income rate for the holiday quarter.” — Corie Barry, CEO .
- “Our fiscal ’26 priorities… drive omnichannel experience improvements… launch and scale incremental profit streams, including Best Buy Marketplace and Best Buy Ads… drive operational effectiveness and efficiency.” — Corie Barry .
- “For Q1 FY26, we expect comparable sales to be slightly down to last year and our adjusted operating income rate to be approximately 3.4%.” — Matt Bilunas, CFO .
- “If the China tariffs… remain at the 10% level for the full year, we believe they would have a negative impact in the ballpark of 1 point of comparable sales… mainly impact quarters 2 through 4.” — Corie Barry .
- “We ended the year with nearly 8 million paid members, up from 7 million last year.” — Management on membership growth .
Q&A Highlights
- Tariffs impact and pricing: Management estimates ~1 pt comps headwind at 10% China tariffs; pass-through from vendors likely; pricing adjustments will vary by category and competitive dynamics; not linear if tariff rates change .
- Sourcing flexibility: Team is modeling SKU-level impacts; diversified exclusive brands manufacturing; ongoing supply chain adjustments with vendor collaboration .
- Margin/expense leverage: As sales grow, expect core leverage, while investing in Marketplace and Ads; FY26 adjusted SG&A rate planned ~flat vs FY25 .
- Category outlook: Opportunities in gaming tied to new launches; appliances expected less negative; housing assumed unchanged in guidance .
- Share and positioning: Q4 share roughly flattish overall; 30-year high in gaming console share for FY25; differentiation matters in cycles with more innovation .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global/Capital IQ Wall Street consensus estimates for Q4 FY25 and FY26 were unavailable due to data access limits; therefore, explicit comparisons to consensus are not included here. Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable due to daily request limits.
- Management indicated results “exceeded our expectations” for Q4 on revenue and adjusted OI rate, but this reflects internal outlook rather than Street consensus .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Adjusted EPS of $2.58 and adjusted OI rate of 4.9% reflect resilient margin execution despite uneven demand; services/membership and digital engagement are key margin drivers .
- The $475M Best Buy Health impairment resets expectations for that unit; GAAP optics weak in Q4 (EPS $0.54, 47.2% tax rate), but core retail profitability remains intact on an adjusted basis .
- FY26 guide implies modest top-line recovery (0–2% comps) and stable-to-expanding margin (4.2–4.4% adj OI rate), with back-half weighted growth tied to product launches and initiatives .
- Near-term risk: tariffs could pressure comps (~1 pt at 10% China) and consumer elasticity; management excluded tariffs from guidance and is preparing mitigants with vendors .
- Marketplace and Ads are potential multi-year profit streams; expect near-term investment in FY26, with positive OI dollar contribution and longer-term rate expansion .
- Category mix remains pivotal: computing/tablets tailwind continues (Windows 10 end-of-support, AI PCs), while appliances/home theater/gaming are mixed; watch gaming catalysts in 2H .
- Dividend increased to $0.95 and ~$300M FY26 buybacks support capital returns; cash from operations $2.098B in FY25 provides flexibility .